Elite Sports Betting Tips: February 18 – Stake blog

Elite Sports Betting Tips: February 18 - Stake blog

ATP Delray Beach – Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian Korda
Winner – Sebastian Korda @ 1.78

While the rankings might not suggest Korda dominance, recent performances have.

Sebastian Korda has not dropped a set to his British opponent, and first seed in Delray Beach.The two played in this tournament last year, with Korda winning 3 and 5.

The two also played just last month in the Aus Open, where Korda once again won in straight sets.

This included a 6-0, in a match finished in just over 90 minutes.

1.78 seems awfully tasty for a player who has been so dominant against his British opponent. 1 unit

English Premier League – Arsenal vs Wolverhampton WanderersDouble Chance – Draw/Wolverhamption @ 2.28

Frankly, this just seems like a big price.

Wolves have been mightily impressive this season, conceding the third fewest number of goals in the league en route to 7th place on the table at the time of writing.

Arsenal are one spot ahead of them in 6th and have had a much easier time scoring (34 goals vs. Wolves’ 21).

With Wolves playing away at the Emirates in this fixture, we can envision them playing very defensively to hold onto a point against a team just above them on the table – their success this season has been built on discipline at the back and they’ll want to continue that here.

Wolves will not want a repeat of their 1-0 loss to Arsenal just a week ago at home. There’s just too much value to be had in Wolves netting at least a point here.

Arsenal as 1.64 favourites on the 1×2 seems too generous given the quality of both sides and Wolves’ recent victory over Tottenham away from home.  1 unit

Bundesliga – Hertha Berlin vs RB Leipzig – 1×2 & Total – Leipzig & Over 2.5 @ 2.16

It’s a tough time to be a Hertha Berlin fan.

Stuck in another relegation fight, without a win since December 18 and well behind fierce rivals Union Berlin.

It’s set to be a long three months in the German capital.

You wouldn’t blame them for being pessimistic this week either, as they host Red Bull Leipzig.

The visitors have won four of the last five meetings against Hertha, all four of which would have seen this tip get up.

Leipzig are also in a rich vein of form, with only one loss in all competitions since the time Hertha had their last win (a 3-2 loss against Bayern).

In spite of a 2-2 draw in the Europa League midweek against Real Sociedad, Leipzig are heavy favourites and it would be a major shock should Hertha a draw, let alone three points.

Given the goal-scoring exploits of both sides (Hertha haven’t had a goalless game since January 15 and Leipzig since mid-December), we’ll back the total market here as well for what looks a decent price.  1 unit

Serie A – Fiorentina vs Atalanta – Goal Range 4-5 @ $3.35

The early Serie A Sunday kickoff game promises to be a ripper.

Both teams on the periphery of key European football spots, in a match-up that produces goals.

Fiorentina may have lost Dusan Vlahovic to Juventus in the January transfer window, but they’ve shown they’re still an attacking force.

Fiorentina’s own winter signing Krzysztof Piatek has hit the ground running with 3 goals in his past 2 matches.

Atalanta are a little out of rhythm at the moment, but had an encouraging 2-1 UEFA cup victory midweek against Olympiacos.

If anything they’ve performed better on the road than they have at home.

These two teams faced off just last week in the Coppa Italia, which saw Fiorentina win 3-2.

At least three goals have been scored in each of the last 10 matches, so we’ll back these goals to continue, with an appropriate goal range bet. 1 unit

English Premier League – Aston Villa Vs Watford1x2 & Total – Villa & U3.5 @ 2.17  

Aston Villa will look to return to winning ways this weekend as they welcome Watford Villa Park.

A 1-0 defeat to Newcastle last time out was the latest setback in a run of one win in the last five games after a bright start to life under Steven Gerrard.

One team you’d probably like to see next up after such a run is Watford, who since having Hodgson in charge have stopped shipping as many goals but have also forgotten how to score them.

Their only point (and goal) since he took over was in a 1-1 draw against Newcastle, with them since drawing 0-0 with Burnley, losing 1-0 at West Ham before a 2-0 defeat to Brighton last weekend.

Indeed, the form guide over the last few months makes extremely grim reading, since beating Man Utd at the back end of November they’ve lost nine of the next eleven fixtures, drawing the other two.

Hodgson may have tightened them up defensively, but with the goals drying up it’s difficult to see how they escape relegation this season.

Factoring all the above in, a Villa win in a game that doesn’t have loads of goals in it looks a reasonable play.

Therefore, backing them and under 3.5 goals at odds against is definitely worth a look. 1 unit

Championship – Derby County – Peterborough United – 1v2 Derby County  @1.93

It’s an old fashioned Football (Soccer) cliche – the six-pointer.

It’s no secret the great compliments Wayne Rooney has been getting as head-coach.

Taking out their points deduction for their off-field antics, Derby would be 17th right now if you were to do a points per game; Peterborough 23rd.

Using the goal difference as a legitimate measure of any side Derby are 16th; Peterborough 24th/bottom.

The Rams have been excellent at home this season too, with a 7-6-2 record, and including 16 points from their last 21 – beating Bournemouth, West Brom and Sheffield United.

Peterborough drew 0-0 midweek to another of the leagues worst, Reading.

They have 2 points in their last 5 matches (home and away) and are the leagues worst team playing away all season, with just 4 points all season in what is widely accepted as a very competitive league.

They’ve conceded 42 goals in just 15 games, 12 more than the 2nd worst defensive record in the league. This has to be one of the best bets you’ll see all season…. 1 unit

Counter-Strike – IEM Katowice – Natus Vincere vs ENCE – Map Handicap: Navi -1.5 @ 2.03

Should be a relatively straightforward match for Navi, having last faced ENCE back in September last year with a decisive 2-0 victory.

With this being the first LAN tournament of the year, expecting Navi to go all the way after a well deserved break.

However, a slight concern may be the current political tension back home in Ukraine, which could play a factor in this matchup and the rest of the tournament for Navi.

Still, expecting a strong performance from the #1 ranked team. 1 unit

UFC – Johnny Walker Vs Jamahal Hill – Asian Total over 1.5 rounds @ $1.74   

Despite the fact the UFC main event has fallen off this weekend with Rafael dos Anjos and Rafael Fiziev rescheduled for a couple of weeks time, we still get to watch a pair of wildmen go to work with Johnny Walker taking on Jamahal Hill.

Hill comes off a beautiful performance against rising Australian prospect Jimmy Crute, putting him out in the first round of their clash back in December while Walker last lost a decision to fellow Brazilian Thiago Santos.

That sets up a most intriguing fight this weekend. Both men have the tools to finish this early but we saw a very different Johnny Walker last time out.

His more cautious approach didn’t necessarily pay off so there is some chance he resumes normality and searches for a fire fight here but we’ll hope that he sticks to the game plan and settles into this high stakes match up.

Jamahal Hill has finished 5 of his 9 wins in Mixed Martial Arts so we’re going to hope that actually plays in our favour with both fighters using the first round or two to feel each other out before going guns ablazing into the danger.

The Asian Total line looks generous enough at just 1.5 rounds so we’ll hope to get to the halfway point of round two to cash our ticket. 1 unit

English Premier League – Liverpool vs Norwich – Asian Handicap – Liverpool -2.25 @ 1.73

Expecting Liverpool to put Norwich to the sword here in this Saturday afternoon encounter at Anfield.

As we come into the crunch time of the season, Liverpool have started to put together a solid run of wins, winning their last 7 matches across all competitions, but they are still languishing 9 points and goal difference behind Man City in the league title race.

With Mane and Salah back in the squad following the conclusion of the African Cup of Nations, they have a near full strength squad to choose from, and while Norwich have improved their form and picked up a couple wins of late, they are still a bookies favourite for relegation.

3 of the past 4 matches between the two sides have seen Liverpool win by 3 goals, and with them Liverpool a win and goal difference also being vital, I expect them to put more than a few past Norwich here. 1 units

La Liga – Elche vs Rayo Vallecano – 1×2 Elche @ 2.85

Elche’s transformation this season has been a pleasure to watch so far.

A team full of passion and grit have managed to climb up the ladder, escaping the relegation zone and playing some beautiful and entertaining football.

This has resulted in Elche gaining many fans admiring their efforts, myself included.

Some of their recent results have showcased their quality and potential to be a La Liga team to watch next season and they are likely to continue running with this great form.

An important game at home against a Rayo Vallecano that have started to decline in form is the perfect chance to continue climbing up the ladder and proving themselves further.

With the same passion, faith and grit I will be backing Elche with 3 units. COME ON 3 units

English Premier League – Arsenal v Brentford – 1×2 & Total
Arsenal & Under 3.5 @ 1.94

The door has been left wide open for Arsenal to stake a claim for a place in the top four this season and they know that only three points will do at home to Brentford this weekend.

The Gunners had a wobbly start to the calendar year, crashing out of both cup competitions, but picked up a crucial win away to Wolves in their last outing, and the form of the teams around them means they have their best chance to get back into the Champions League since their Europa League Final defeat in 2019.

They will be without the suspended Gabriel Martinelli who has been a shining light in recent months, but the defence has tightened up significantly and Ben White is starting to repay the substantial transfer fee Mikel Arteta shelled out in the summer.

Brentford famously won the reverse fixture on the opening night of the season, but a lot has changed since then and the Bees are without a win in seven matches in all competitions.

Neither of these sides have scored more than one goal in a game since around the turn of the year, and given the pressure Arsenal will be under, this could be a nervy affair.

It’s a must win game for the home side though and in a tough weekend of EPL action betting wise, the Gunners edging a low-scoring encounter looks a solid play. 1 unit

NBA – All-Star Three-Point Contest Winner – Luke Kennard @7

We’re going with the most efficient shooter this season for this year’s 3-pt contest. Kennard is firing at a 43% clip in the regular season, a field best yet we’re getting $7 about him.

Like much of the field, he can shoot lights out and has shown he can still show up and ball out as the underdog, doing it all his career at Detroit and currently with a depleted Clippers squad. 1 unit

Winter Olympics – Ski Cross – Ryan Regez @ 4.35 1 unit

The Ski Cross event at Beijing 2022 looks to be a battle between two with Bastien Midol of France and Switzerland’s Ryan Regez sharing favouritism at 4.35.

It’s Regez however who takes the form and confidence into the competition and will be the one to beat. 

Regez will wear the Number 1 bib at the Genting Snow Park as the current leader of the World Cup standings with five podium finishes this season, three of them on the top step.

The Swiss is the only male athlete with three World Cup wins next to his name so far this season, winning back-to-back races in the most recent event held in Sweden. 

This will be a first appearance at an Olympic Games for Regez and we’re expecting him to leave Beijing with gold around his neck. 1 unit